Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.902735 2.006188 2.113604 2.233725 2.364620 2.503284 2.661746
2026-01-18 1.784259 1.938695 2.106715 2.304242 2.531598 2.786927 3.097990
2026-01-25 1.654336 1.840216 2.050073 2.307079 2.616901 2.983102 3.456084
2026-02-01 1.531402 1.735338 1.972494 2.272828 2.649275 3.114461 3.747816
2026-02-08 1.411651 1.622706 1.873870 2.200539 2.623200 3.165277 3.937699
2026-02-15 1.327933 1.546170 1.811351 2.164805 2.635923 3.262079 4.195349
2026-02-22 1.268431 1.494506 1.774595 2.156677 2.680767 3.402261 4.527892
2026-03-01 1.207764 1.437006 1.725636 2.127130 2.691535 3.492793 4.795284
2026-03-08 1.132028 1.355905 1.640910 2.042762 2.617493 3.451519 4.848569
2026-03-15 1.092672 1.319720 1.612802 2.033198 2.647914 3.565901 5.166427
2026-03-22 1.083366 1.322044 1.635510 2.094982 2.786170 3.857772 5.829719
2026-03-29 1.055269 1.297634 1.620068 2.100466 2.839019 4.018136 6.284528
2026-04-05 1.030379 1.278547 1.613803 2.123232 2.927527 4.259503 6.967503
2026-04-12 1.009862 1.264671 1.614342 2.156622 3.037127 4.554100 7.838366
2026-04-19 0.976145 1.230928 1.584731 2.142037 3.066850 4.710916 8.459257
2026-04-26 0.937670 1.188838 1.540893 2.102355 3.050519 4.779930 8.898633
2026-05-03 0.893707 1.137266 1.480829 2.033411 2.977923 4.731899 9.041657
2026-05-10 0.862251 1.102395 1.443905 1.999213 2.963413 4.796803 9.495313
2026-05-17 0.839759 1.079514 1.423719 1.990648 2.993588 4.955931 10.255310
2026-05-24 0.814001 1.050904 1.393571 1.963765 2.987742 5.038555 10.826381
2026-05-31 0.777511 1.005470 1.336164 1.888638 2.886676 4.904179 10.700642
2026-06-07 0.759578 0.986742 1.318910 1.879949 2.910098 5.047029 11.506687
2026-06-14 0.757899 0.991871 1.338473 1.934580 3.059406 5.498325 13.572750